According to ntldstats.com almost 10% of all registered new gTLD domain names are in upcoming delete status; meaning for at least a while new G’s domain name may have peaked out.
On March 24, 2017 the number of new gTLD domain registrations sat at 28,854,146.
As of yesterday the number is 28,818,819.
However the number of new gTLD’s in “upcoming delete” status is 2,738,536 which 9.50% of the number of new gTLD registrations.
Once those domains delete through the amount of new gTLD’s should be around 26 Million.
This week the largest operator of new gTLD extension Donuts announced they were going for the 1st time discount the first year cost of registrations of nearly all of its domains.
Still looming large over the new gTLD registration numbers is the anniversary of the $.01 .XYZ sale which was followed by domain sales as low as $.02 which occurred at the beginning of June 2016 and prices remained for the entire month of June at $.22 at many registrars.
Before the $.01 sale .XYZ stood at around 2.5 million registrations and zoomed up in just days to 5.5 million domain registrations, reaching a peak of 6,640,848 on March 21 of this year.
So while new gTLD registrations total at the moment it around 28.8 Million domains it seems to be headed to 26 Million shortly and then still facing millions of more .XYZ renewing in June.
Finally Uniregistry announcement that is will be increasing the wholesale prices by 5x-30x in some of its strings, (even higher at the retail level) along with Godaddy announcement that they would not be selling Uniregistry new gTLD string will not help the overall registrations numbers
Bottom line the 28.8 Million domain mark in new gTLD domain registrations looks like a peak number in my opinion in new gTLD domain registrations for the foreseeable future.
The Donuts discount may help offset some of the losses in total new gTLD domain registrations but the next big move up again IMHO will not occur until .web is released and of course that will depend on pricing, marketing and availability of premiums the in extension.
Good piece, Michael.
It’s VERY interesting to note that in the UPCOMING DELETE file(s) these are the granular details:
725,908 dot-XYZ names (11%)
514,867 dot-TOP names (11%)
86,066 dot-CLUB names (10%)
181,786 dot-WIN names (15%)
48,404 dot-SITE names (7%)
30,302 dot-ONLINE names (4%)
184,305 dot-BID names (30% ! )
…and ONLY 20 (!) dot-VIP names (0%) — which gives you the proper context to separate the wheat from the chaff.
M+M never played the ‘give away’ game, because with dot-VIP they didn’t have to. There was, and will be, very legitimate demand for this extension, which will only increase once real businesses start to use dot-VIP, which in the luxury niches they will do.
Thanks for this info.
…and ONLY 20 (!) dot-VIP names (0%) — which gives you the proper context to separate the wheat from the chaff. M+M never played the ‘give away’ game, because with dot-VIP they didn’t have to
Gene, only because the .VIP isn’t a year old yet.
Secondly I suspect what you are saying about no giveaway’s in .vip isn’t accurate, there is significant vertical spikes in their chart which is typically a 1 cent or very cheap promotion.
.vip is turd just like all the others.
Snoopy, I’m happy to address your points, however wrong they may be, when you reveal your true identity.
It’s really futile to get into a debate with someone who hides behind a cartoon-dog’s name. Come out from the doghouse and show everyone how successful you’ve been as a domainer.
Gene, when some people get thingsl wrong they admit it, other people just try to argue about something else. You are in category 2.
What’s your point? His point about it not being a year old yet is entirely accurate. Don’t know why you feel the need to get so defensive.
And sometimes people have quite legitimate reasons for remaining anonymous, so stop making an issue of it. You were called out, respond appropriately.
Dan – Why don’t you mind your F’ing business, and stop acting like an old wash-woman? I’ll respond to him anyway and anytime I like without the need for you to voice your (voiceless) opinion.
And who are you, BTW – and why am I wasting my precious time writing this note to another idiot who hides behind anonymity?
What would the legitimate reason be on a domain blog ? You want to be anonymous cool but it’s not like someone a whistleblower about something important.
Snoopy – rather than speculate maybe you should read what the VIP registry posts in its audited financials. This is one of the only public companies where you can get a read on what they are doing. From the CEO’s statement:
“As previously reported, its launch has been nothing short of exceptional representing the most successful launch of any new gTLD to date, with approximately 405,000 registrations and $5.5 million of billings achieved in the first 21 days…”
So yes a big spike in their registrations but if they were giving these away for pennies then where did that $5.5 mil come from?
The retail price is $3 so hard to follow where the revenue is coming from. Assuming a wholesale price of $1.50 that would be 600k revenue.
This extension is very comparable to .xyz, .site, .red, .loan. Just driven by cheap Chinese registrations that will mostly be dropped.
Graham Haynes says
That’s because VIP hasn’t been in GA for 1 year yet.
@ Graham Haynes
So then we’ll wait and see what happens the week of May 17th, the one-year anniversary.
For those of us who like the gtld’s and think there is a future for them down the road, this is probably the best buying opportunity we will get.
NEW gTLDs are utter garbage !!!
The 10% to be delete gTLDs is not a good sign. This simply shows no demand of these extensions.
Or another opportunity of other investor to grab some quality keyword.
I have few and no intention of adding more.
I think the new gTLD registries and registers should have sold all “premium” names at the same price as any name.
Domain investors are tireless hustlers. They would buy up premiums (making more registrations than pricing them at $$thousands wold) and they would be working the phones to their contacts promoting – with a personal one on one spiel – their particular premium gTLD. Incidentally they would be promoting the who new extension. They would be meeting objections of potential buyers (“no one has ever done this before, com is safer”). They would be educating people in the domain market about the new extensions. They would apply salesmanship, something the new registries are lacking.
One of the biggest buyers of ‘premium’ new gTLD domain names — great ‘across the dot’ names — was Michael Berkens himself. He’s got hundreds of them even after selling off his huge portfolio for millions of dollars. I do not see Mr. Berkens working the phones every day to merchandize his inventory of new gTLDs to skeptical buyers. It’s simply a sit back and wait strategy. If there will ever be any demand for these new gTLDs from well-heeled end users, he is sitting pretty. If there never will be any demand for these things, he’s going to lose some money; but, he can afford to do so.
Any idea when .web will be released?
If this is how the first round of new gtlds is doing, I don’t see much hope for the second round because most of the best possible extensions have already come out (except for .web).
How many words are left that could possibly make up a good new gtld?
They will still get silly domainers and defensive registrants lining up for a second round, doesn’t matter how badly things go.
Is .web really that interesting? With the same lack of price protection? Sure, it’s good for some keywords, and no doubt there may be a few good $xx,xxx sales, even some $xxx,xxx, but overall who cares that much? And that’s if the pricing is agreeable vs. what it could easily be.
This multiple registry is lowering prices too:
– .BROKER domain names: price was $500,00. Now: $20,00
– .FOREX domain names: price was $1,000,00. Now: $30,00
– .MARKETS domain names: price was $40,00. Now: $10,00
– .TRADING domain names: price was $50,00. Now: $12,00
For obvious reason, low demand and they need money to keep the business running.
Well good luck.
Albert Trotter says
10% is not a good sign at all..did you find any reasons behind that?????