100,000 New gTLD by 2020? One Blogger Has Just Made That Prediction

Naseem Javed  is a frequent author of articles on domain names and gTLD issues and he has been published fairly frequently by CircleId.com where his 23 posts have been viewed over 600,000 times.

He just published a post on business2community.com, making the case that there will be as many as 100,000 new gTLD’s by 2020:

“””Imagine. Suddenly it’s 2020, and ICANN has just opened its 10th window for gTLD applications.””

“A fast and streamlined operation is churning the new gTLD brands with fascinating ease.”

“The global markets are learning how to harness the gTLD powers to dominate the markets by workable name identities for one single universal cyber platform.”

“There are 100,000 gTLDs in use all over the world now.””

“The most aggressive national brands of the world have acquired dot brand gTLDs to make their name identity expansion more easily workable in expanding markets. The closed and controlled dot brand domain name identity has proven to be a better customer service feature and a weapon against cyber-squatting. Mega global brands also acquired dot brand gTLDs to fortify their current name brands and join the exclusive global dot brand club.””

“”The resistance to gTLD change about all is but over. In hindsight, at the dawn of Internet, it was the lack of any high level discussion on the ‘global naming complexities’ that created the accidental ‘napkin solution’ resulting in the initial top five gTLDs, .com, .net, .edu, .gov. .mil etc. The ‘irrational exuberance’ and frenzy of technological breakthroughs of the period precluded any intellectual discussions of global name identity expansion. “”

“”Many thousands of destinations are now ‘convenient cyber labels of destination brands’ just think of a location and the ‘dot destination’ will open up a floodgate of options. The mayoralty builds ‘clicks, hits, and page views’ as major election campaign platforms. The local communities take great joy and pride in global interactions and for being under the global spotlight.””

“”There are generic dot brands, dictionary words acting as ‘no-name brands’ for just about each and every item of global consumption. They cover all levels of society; basic needs to luxury and class, from basement bargains to penthouses and private jets, with round the clock services they provide global accessibility to amazing cyber bazaars of both price sensitive commoditized or value added branded consumption.””

The article goes on to make the case for 100,000 new gTLD’s by 2020 and you can check out the full article here

 

Comments

  1. Michael H. Berkens says

    David

    You can’t dismiss the author as a new gTLD enthusiast

    As I said in the post the same guy has frequently written for circleid on the new gTLD’s and not every post was positive:

    10 Reasons Why New gTLDs May Not Work For You:

    http://www.circleid.com/posts/10_reasons_why_new_gtlds_may_not_work_for_you/

    The Dotcom Kingdom:

    http://www.circleid.com/posts/the_dotcom_kingdom/

    You can click on the CircleID link in the post and see other posts he has written

  2. Jonathan says

    All of which will drive people to the trusted dot com brand, the same as it ever was, the same as it ever was !!!
    It is all in the the marketing (dot com) even though this is IMO of more concern:
    “microsoft-files-patent-application-for-safe-url-shortening”

  3. Nacho Domain says

    @RH and JJ

    The more they confuse the public the more the opportunities to reg similar domains or cybersquat multiply.

    For example, Detergent.Tide….. let’s look at that.

    If Tide did not own Tide.com then anyone that puts in Detergent.Tide.com by mistake would not go to Tide’s site.

    What about someone getting the .detergent extension? So they could do Tide.Detergent and get the typos from Detergent.Tide .

    This means it is in Tide’s interest to also own the gTLD , .detergent , and Tide.com, which brings them back to square one, which is the .com domain…. the Tide.com which they Really need, not some concocted extension that they now must spend $$$ to train people to visit.

    Honestly, I think consumers will be irked if they visit Tide.com and don’t get the Tide company, so any company that goes with a new gTLD and ignores the .com will suffer the ramifications of lost business and an put-off customer.

    Will ICANN, or whoever administers this, police 100,000 to make sure this does not happen. I lean towards thinking it would not, even with any rapid URS, etc…..blah, blah, blah.

    In 1995, when I got involved, sometimes when domains were being released they would want a phone call to find out what you are doing with the domain. They would only allow one registration per entity. They would sometimes even go so far as to request paperwork on certain domains. Well, it sure did not take long to become a administrative hassle and nightmare, so they gave up on enforcing much of anything. That’s at a 1995 price of $100 a domain, and they still would not do it. It’s too much work and liability.

    If the same policing and enforcement is necessary to keep everyone in line then new gTLDs will require even higher prices and therefore will become more prohibitive to opening more gTLDs.

    Good luck with 100,000 of them. A total nightmare awaits brands and a goldmine awaits squatters since there really won’t be many pure-play generic domain buying opportunities that make money in parking. Maybe there are some sales there, but who knows.

  4. Jp says

    I just don’t think that new tlds will get as far as 100k that quick unless it is just an instant smash success. So I think that is moreso what he is predicting is a smash success. Certainly if it’s a failure or just ebb then it won’t get to 100k that fast.

    Also numbers wise that’s how many billions of dollars spent to create and maintain the tlds?

  5. says

    100,000 is a huge number. I don’t see that happening. But this is a wave of change that has never been seen before, with a new set of rules. Vertical integration is a game changer. Betting on a static model is dangerous imo.

  6. says

    It is amazing what news makes a domain blog today –

    – Some BS press release of PrivateJet.com selling for $30M.

    – Some post by “some person” about a 7 figure .TV sale.

    – Some random person making some stupid prediction about there being 100,000 domain extensions.

    Brad

  7. says

    If you do the math the OP is suggesting there will be an average of 40/extensions released per day, every day, for the next 7+ years. Yeah right.

    $185,000 x 100,000 extensions. ICANN will have a really hard time staying “revenue neutral”.

    Brad

  8. Michael H. Berkens says

    Brad

    ICANN has said that the application fees in future rounds would be less.

    So your assumption that all rounds will carry the same price is incorrect

  9. Michael H. Berkens says

    Brad

    correct but ICANN will not approve any TLD confusing similar to another.

    So today there are 22 to judge that against plus ccTLD’s

    If there are 1,000 apps in the 1st round those in the 2nd round will have to clear that hurdle

  10. says

    “Correct but ICANN will not approve any TLD confusing similar to another.”

    I am not sure there are even 100,000 terms that are not similar to another term.

    .homes, .realestate, .property, .properties, .realty, etc. Those are all similar.

    .law, .lawyer, .lawyers, .attorneys, .attorney, .legal, etc. Those are all similar.

    It is the same thing with countless other categories as well.

    If ICANN refuses to allow similar domains, so much for letting the free market decide.

    They are just creating artificial monopolies. I expect them to face plenty of legal challenges.

    Brad

  11. Michael H. Berkens says

    Brad

    Not similar, confusingly similar so your example if .law, went in the 1st round very unlikely that .lawyer and/or .lawyers would probably approved in a future round.

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